Agenda: Modeling Community Containment Workshop
Workshop - Day One: Wednesday, October 25, 2006
Meeting Location:
Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) Building
Room A
525 23rd Street, NW
Washington, DC 20037
8:30 a.m. – 9:00 a.m.
Welcome and Introductions
Adel Mahmoud, Committee Chair
Charge to the Committee
Admiral John Agwunobi, Assistant Secretary for Health, DHHS
9:00 a.m. – 9:30 a.m.
Targeted Layered Containment: Policy Perspective
Rajeev Venkayya, Homeland Security Council
Targeted Layered Containment: Scientific Underpinnings
Martin Cetron, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
9:30 – 9:45 a.m.
Questions
9:45 – 10:30 a.m.
Modeling influenza transmission in households and other indoor spaces
Lawrence Wein, Stanford University
10:30 – 11:00 p.m.
Infectious-disease models as policy tools
Ellis McKenzie, Fogarty Center, NIH
Overview of MIDAS role in policymaking
Jeremy Berg, National Institute of General Medical Sciences, NIH
11:00 – 11:15 p.m.
Break
11:15 – 1:30 p.m.
(45 minutes each)
Modeling Targeted Layered Containment: The MIDAS efforts
Neil Ferguson, Imperial College, London
Steve Eubank, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Ira Longini, University of Washington School of Public Health and Community Medicine
1:30 – 2:45 p.m.
Lunch
2:45 – 3:30 p.m.
Local Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza
Robert Glass, Sandia National Laboratories
3:30 – 4:15 p.m.
Robust Models of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions for Pandemic Influenza
Steve Bankes, The RAND Corporation
4:15 – 4:30 p.m.
Break
4:30 – 5:45 p.m.
Panel Discussion: Strengths and Weaknesses of Models and Their Utility in Community Containment
Discussion led by Dr. Mahmoud
5:45 p.m.
Adjourn
Workshop—Day Two: Thursday, October 26, 2006
8:30 a.m.
Convene
Use of Historical Data
8:45 a.m. – 9:30 a.m.
Howard Markel, University of Michigan School of Medicine
9:30 – 10:15 a.m.
Marc Lipsitch, Harvard School of Public Health
10:15 – 11:00 a.m.
Neil Ferguson, Imperial College, London
11:00 – 11:15 a.m.
Break
11:15 – 11:30 a.m.
John Barry
Author of "The Great Influenza: The Epic Story of the Deadliest Plague in History"
11:30 – 12:15 p.m.
Discussion
12:15 – 1:30 p.m.
Lunch
1:30 – 2:00 p.m.
Effectiveness of Non-Pharmaceutical Public health Interventions for Pandemic Influenza
Samuel Bozzette, The RAND Corporation
2:00 – 2:45 p.m.
Public Opinion Polling Data
Robert Blendon, Harvard School of Public Health
2:45 – 3:05 p.m.
Health Consequences of Mitigation Strategies
D.A. Henderson, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Center for Biosecurity
3:05 – 3:50 p.m.
Second and Third Order Consequences of Mitigation Strategies
Carter Mecher, United States Department of Veterans Affairs
3:50 – 4:00 p.m.
Break
4:00 – 6:00 p.m.
Panel Discussions Regarding Feasibility and Unintended Consequences of Community Containment Strategies/Reactions
Panel 1:
Jay Berkelhamer, American Academy of Pediatrics
Jeffrey Duchin, Public Health-Seattle, & King County
(also representing National Association of County and City Health Officials and Infectious Diseases Society of America)
Mary Mincer-Hansen, State Health Official, Iowa
Association of State and Territorial Health Officials
Panel 2:
James Caverly, U.S. Department of Homeland Security
Ann Beauchesne, U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Chris Logan, National Governors Association
Lisa Soronen, National School Boards Association
6:00 p.m.
Adjourn
October 27 was a closed session (committee and IOM staff only).
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